Decarbonize: The Clean Energy Podcast
Decarbonize: The Clean Energy Podcast
Distributed solutions to large load growth
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Electricity demand is growing in Minnesota and across the country. Much of this growth is coming from large electricity users such as hyperscale data centers, electrified industrial processes, and beyond. It is crucial that these new electricity needs be met with clean energy solutions — not with new fossil generation.
Join us for a conversation about how distributed energy solutions can help meet growing electricity demand while also creating opportunities to strengthen workforce and supplier diversity.
Guests:
Tim Hade, Air Force veteran and Co-Founder, Scale Microgrids
Will Mulhern, Director, Electricity, Fresh Energy
Mark Sebree, President, Sebree Consulting
Moderator:
Shubha Harris, Chief Equity Policy Officer, Fresh Energy
Fresh Energy’s mission is to shape and drive bold policy solutions to achieve equitable carbon-neutral economies. Together we are working toward a vision of a just, prosperous, and resilient future powered by a shared commitment to a carbon-neutral economy. Learn about Fresh Energy's work and our bold "Vision 2030: Fresh Energy's Strategic Framework" at our website fresh-energy.org.
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00:00:11 Jo Olson
Hello, and welcome to Decarbonize, the clean energy podcast from Fresh Energy.
00:00:17 Jo Olson
Fresh Energy is a Minnesota nonprofit working to speed our state's transition to a clean energy economy.
00:00:24 Jo Olson
My name is Jo Olson and I'm the Chief Communications Officer here at Fresh Energy.
00:00:28 Jo Olson
And today we're sharing a recording from our March 23rd webinar discussing how distributed energy solutions can help meet growing electricity demand while also creating opportunities to strengthen workforce and supplier diversity.
00:00:43 Jo Olson
Let's dive in.
00:00:46 Shubha Harris
Beautiful day here in Minnesota.
00:00:47 Shubha Harris
I'm not sure where all of you are, but I hope it's a beautiful day.
00:00:51 Shubha Harris
Wherever you are, we're going to go ahead and get started here.
00:00:54 Shubha Harris
My name is Shuba Harris.
00:00:56 Shubha Harris
I am the Chief Equity Policy Officer at Fresh Energy.
00:01:00 Shubha Harris
For those of you who are not familiar with Fresh Energy, we are a Minnesota-based nonprofit that is working towards a clean and equitable energy transition.
00:01:12 Shubha Harris
Before we dive in, I just have a few housekeeping items.
00:01:15 Shubha Harris
The first is this webinar is being recorded, and we will send a link to all of those who registered after the event.
00:01:23 Shubha Harris
The second is that we will be leaving some time for Q&A at the end.
00:01:27 Shubha Harris
We've got a great panel, so I'm sure there will be questions.
00:01:30 Shubha Harris
You can use the Q&A feature to pop your questions in there, and we'll try to monitor that throughout.
00:01:38 Shubha Harris
And then this isn't really housekeeping, but definitely, definitely something I wanted to mention.
00:01:42 Shubha Harris
One of Fresh Energy's guiding principles is to broaden participation in the energy transition.
00:01:48 Shubha Harris
We're really trying to bring more people into the energy sector, into the clean energy transition.
00:01:53 Shubha Harris
And so we're really trying to work hard to make our language accessible and easy to understand.
00:02:00 Shubha Harris
So I'm going to ask my panelists today to do their best to take what can be a very technical and jargon heavy subject, and I know
00:02:08 Shubha Harris
So I'm guilty of using four acronyms in a sentence, but I'm really going to try hard to use easy to understand language.
00:02:15 Shubha Harris
And with that, I'll kick it off for some intros.
00:02:19 Shubha Harris
I'm here joined today with Tim, Will, and Mark, a great panel.
00:02:23 Shubha Harris
Let's do a quick round robin of intros, starting with you, Tim.
00:02:29 Tim Hade
All right.
00:02:30 Tim Hade
It's nice to meet everyone.
00:02:31 Tim Hade
Tim Haid.
00:02:32 Tim Hade
I've been working in distributed energy for about 15 years.
00:02:36 Tim Hade
I started at a cogeneration company.
00:02:38 Tim Hade
And then in 2015, started a company called Scale Microgrids, which builds behind the meter, predominantly behind the meter microgrids for commercial and industrial customers.
00:02:50 Tim Hade
I'm sort of fascinated with all things distributed energy.
00:02:53 Tim Hade
So looking forward to today's conversation.
00:02:56 Tim Hade
I think what you all are doing in Minnesota is incredible.
00:03:00 Tim Hade
And I'm watching really closely and excited to be a part of this.
00:03:04 Shubha Harris
Great.
00:03:05 Shubha Harris
Let's kick it over to you, Mark.
00:03:07 Mark Sebree
Thanks, Shuba.
00:03:08 Mark Sebree
Hello, everyone.
00:03:09 Mark Sebree
Mark Sebree with Seabrey Consulting.
00:03:11 Mark Sebree
We create and run Main Street small business and water diversity programs, also help corporate programming as well.
00:03:19 Mark Sebree
I've spent 27 years in the utility industry for Midwest Utility, where we, I won't use the acronym DSM, but I'll say demand side services or just demand side management.
00:03:28 Mark Sebree
We ran programs such as rebate programs, small business,
00:03:34 Mark Sebree
programs as well, load management weatherization.
00:03:37 Mark Sebree
So I was in that for about 27 years altogether.
00:03:40 Mark Sebree
I created and implemented award-winning supplier diversity programs as well.
00:03:44 Mark Sebree
And then my last stint there was in economic development.
00:03:47 Mark Sebree
And so back in 2014, I started CRE Consulting, which my wife has run that.
00:03:52 Mark Sebree
I appreciate Lisa.
00:03:53 Mark Sebree
She's on today as well.
00:03:55 Mark Sebree
Shout out to her.
00:03:56 Mark Sebree
And then concurrently, I went to work for Franklin Energy about eight years ago as the director of diverse sourcing and inclusion.
00:04:04 Mark Sebree
So I had
00:04:04 Mark Sebree
supplier diversity, and the internal diversity, equity, and inclusion initiative as well.
00:04:11 Mark Sebree
So I just retired in January, so now I'm back in CB Consulting, and I'm looking forward to talking with everyone today.
00:04:18 Shubha Harris
Well, that's great.
00:04:19 Shubha Harris
Congratulations on your retirement, Mark.
00:04:21 Mark Sebree
Thank you.
00:04:22 Shubha Harris
All right, we'll take it over to you, Will.
00:04:24 Will Mulhern
Yeah, thanks.
00:04:25 Will Mulhern
My name's Will Mulhern.
00:04:26 Will Mulhern
I'm the director of our electricity program at Fresh Energy, and I handle our work at the Public Utilities Commission.
00:04:32 Will Mulhern
often referred to as the PUC.
00:04:34 Will Mulhern
I'm sure I will slip into that acronym a few times today.
00:04:37 Will Mulhern
I've been with Thrush Energy since late 2024.
00:04:40 Will Mulhern
And prior to that, I was on staff at the Oregon Public Utilities Commission.
00:04:43 Will Mulhern
So I've been in the regulated space a little bit, not as long as the two other folks on this call.
00:04:49 Will Mulhern
I'm really excited to speak with both of them and kind of bring some Minnesota specific context to this.
00:04:53 Will Mulhern
So excited to be here today.
00:04:56 Shubha Harris
Great.
00:04:56 Shubha Harris
Thanks, Will.
00:04:57 Shubha Harris
It's great to have you all together.
00:04:59 Shubha Harris
I'm going to start us off with some context.
00:05:01 Shubha Harris
Before I came over to Fresh Energy, I was a regulatory attorney at Xcel Energy here in Minnesota.
00:05:07 Shubha Harris
I started at Xcel in 2020, and when I started there, there was still talk in the industry about the utility death spiral.
00:05:14 Shubha Harris
That's the idea that electricity demand had been relatively flat for several years and that energy efficiency and distributed resources like rooftop solar could potentially erode the utility business model.
00:05:26 Shubha Harris
We'll fast forward just six years, and the picture looks very different today.
00:05:31 Shubha Harris
We're seeing rapid growth in the industry.
00:05:33 Shubha Harris
Electricity demand is growing.
00:05:36 Shubha Harris
Some are even describing this sector as a new industrial era.
00:05:41 Shubha Harris
So I'm going to start with you, Will.
00:05:43 Shubha Harris
Could you ground us in some context?
00:05:45 Shubha Harris
Tell us a little bit about the history.
00:05:47 Shubha Harris
Tell us about the past electricity demand and where we're going.
00:05:52 Will Mulhern
Yeah, absolutely.
00:05:52 Will Mulhern
Excited to talk about that.
00:05:54 Will Mulhern
And as you said, it's a great time to be working in the energy space.
00:05:57 Will Mulhern
Definitely a lot different than I think it would have been, or it was, 10 to 15 years ago.
00:06:02 Will Mulhern
And we're really sort of at this inflection point, as you mentioned, sort of like this industrial revolution where there's a lot of money being put into this space because we're trying to do a lot of ambitious things with decarbonization, with load growth, and with other kind of novel solutions that we're bringing to the table.
00:06:17 Will Mulhern
And so, I'll just say it's a great time to be working in energy and
00:06:21 Will Mulhern
excited to be part of these types of conversations.
00:06:24 Will Mulhern
So really, the change that's driving that has been kind of these recent increases in demand projections, right?
00:06:30 Will Mulhern
And so folks, I'm sure everyone on this call is very familiar with AI and data centers kind of driving a lot of that load growth.
00:06:36 Will Mulhern
And that's certainly a huge part of it.
00:06:38 Will Mulhern
And that's something that we're seeing in Minnesota.
00:06:40 Will Mulhern
But there's a lot of other reasons for that as well, right?
00:06:42 Will Mulhern
So we're trying to electrify to meet, electrify a lot of end uses to meet our decarbonization goals, trying to electrify things like heavy industry, like vehicles,
00:06:51 Will Mulhern
vehicles, manufacturing, and a lot of that is driving load growth outside of AI.
00:06:56 Will Mulhern
So across the board, there's a lot of pressure on utilities, on the energy sector to meet this demand so that we can push our economy forward into a more decarbonized space.
00:07:05 Will Mulhern
And so that's sort of the impetus for tackling these challenges and thinking about solutions of how we might meet that load growth.
00:07:11 Will Mulhern
And that's a lot different than what was happening really
00:07:14 Will Mulhern
since the turn of the century, kind of like really stagnant, kind of consistent, small amounts of load growth, but nothing like what we're now seeing being projected.
00:07:23 Will Mulhern
And so that's where we kind of need to think in ways that allow us to bring novel solutions to the table to meet that.
00:07:30 Will Mulhern
You know, kind of the focus today is around distributed energy resources, and we'll certainly get into a lot of that.
00:07:36 Will Mulhern
But
00:07:36 Will Mulhern
We can think of a number of solutions that we could bring to try and deal with that.
00:07:41 Will Mulhern
I guess talking just a little bit about Minnesota specifically, we're dealing with the same challenges that we see across the board.
00:07:46 Will Mulhern
There's several data centers that are looking to come to Minnesota.
00:07:48 Will Mulhern
It's a great economic development opportunity, but it's not without its challenges.
00:07:53 Will Mulhern
Those are things we want to address really head on and make sure that we're doing it in a way that works for our state.
00:07:57 Will Mulhern
Minnesota also is well positioned for other industries as well.
00:08:00 Will Mulhern
We have a big mining sector here, a lot of movement around electrification and mining, which is a really cool opportunity.
00:08:06 Will Mulhern
downstream of that, thinking about steel production and how we can do that in a decarbonized way.
00:08:11 Will Mulhern
A lot of electricity involved in that too.
00:08:13 Will Mulhern
So great opportunities for Minnesota to really lead on this.
00:08:16 Will Mulhern
And we're very much kind of at the forefront of this load growth that's happening.
00:08:20 Will Mulhern
And First Energy sees that kind of through the integrated resource planning process, which is where we're very involved with utilities and making resource decisions that can meet the need for this load growth without bringing additional fossil fuels on the grid.
00:08:33 Will Mulhern
And maybe I'll just close with, I think,
00:08:35 Will Mulhern
we're going to talk a bit about the Capacity Connect program that Excel is proposing that came out of an IRP, right?
00:08:40 Will Mulhern
So that came out of Excel looking for solutions to meet some of this load growth and to meet their needs in sort of an, I guess you could call it a non-traditional way, a way that doesn't revolve, it doesn't involve adding more fossil resources on the grid.
00:08:52 Will Mulhern
And that's a program I'm really excited about.
00:08:54 Will Mulhern
I think that's a great use case of how distributed energy resources can be leveraged to help meet this kind of
00:09:01 Will Mulhern
moment.
00:09:02 Will Mulhern
And yeah, excited to talk more about that and get into that a little bit.
00:09:05 Will Mulhern
But that's kind of broadly from our perspective, from our perspective, what we're seeing in Minnesota and across the board in terms of the moment in electricity right now.
00:09:13 Shubha Harris
Great, thank you for that context.
00:09:16 Shubha Harris
As you said, we're here to talk about distributed energy resources.
00:09:18 Shubha Harris
And Tim, I know you've been pounding the pavement for over a decade, trying to raise visibility about what DERs are and what value they can bring to the grid.
00:09:26 Shubha Harris
So maybe you can just start by telling us what they are and what they can do for us.
00:09:32 Tim Hade
Yeah, for sure.
00:09:34 Tim Hade
So I think basically, if you want to understand distributed energy resources,
00:09:41 Tim Hade
The short, simple definition of this is just customer cited resources that add value to the grid.
00:09:49 Tim Hade
And so to kind of give everyone like a very quick two-minute history of how this evolved, right?
00:09:56 Tim Hade
The electric grid was commercialized really in the first part of the 20th century.
00:10:01 Tim Hade
And up until the 1970s, it was like a one-way street, right?
00:10:05 Tim Hade
And so we have to load balance demand and supply, but the way that was done was just by changing
00:10:11 Tim Hade
supply, right, so modulating supply up and down.
00:10:14 Tim Hade
It was like that all the way up through the 1970s.
00:10:17 Tim Hade
In the 1970s, we had an energy crisis.
00:10:20 Tim Hade
During the energy crisis, one of the things that we came up with was the idea of a very basic form of demand response, which is grid operators, when the grid got stressed, would call large loads like factories and tell them to send everyone home.
00:10:35 Tim Hade
They would shut down the factory, they would send everyone home, they would get paid
00:10:40 Tim Hade
for taking capacity off the grid.
00:10:42 Tim Hade
And on a net basis, that helped us manage energy costs through the energy crisis in the 1970s.
00:10:48 Tim Hade
And then we kind of didn't really do anything with it until the early 2000s.
00:10:53 Tim Hade
We set some of those programs in place, but it wasn't prolific.
00:10:57 Tim Hade
And then the 2000s, we had another energy crisis in the state of California where I currently reside.
00:11:03 Tim Hade
And the difference is this time in the energy crisis, we had the internet, right?
00:11:06 Tim Hade
And so sort of version two of demand response was, okay, now we have the internet.
00:11:10 Tim Hade
And instead of making physical phone calls or phone calls to people and telling them to shut off everything, go home.
00:11:17 Tim Hade
we can now have connected devices and we can send signals, and we could do this in a slightly better way.
00:11:24 Tim Hade
So another evolution happened in the 2000 to 2005 timeframe with demand response version two.
00:11:34 Tim Hade
And then, Shubha, as you mentioned, I think over the last 10 or 15 years,
00:11:40 Tim Hade
Technological progress has been remarkable, right?
00:11:43 Tim Hade
Generally referred to as like the internet of things.
00:11:46 Tim Hade
Now you're in a situation where basically everything you own is controllable and connected to the internet, whether that's your refrigerator, your thermostat, your hot water heater, your heat pump, whatever the case might be.
00:11:58 Tim Hade
Because demand was flat, we didn't really have the economic signals to take advantage of that.
00:12:04 Tim Hade
Now we're in like
00:12:06 Tim Hade
energy crisis number three, right?
00:12:09 Tim Hade
Which is, we have way, way, way more demand than we have supply.
00:12:13 Tim Hade
And we have to try to start thinking about, okay, how do we improve grid utilization?
00:12:18 Tim Hade
And how do we make the system overall more efficient?
00:12:20 Tim Hade
So we can not only connect a lot more demand to the grid, which is good for economic prosperity, but we can also do so in a way that doesn't
00:12:30 Tim Hade
increase rates for people who are paying their electricity bills every day.
00:12:35 Tim Hade
We're now in the third wave of distributed energy or demand response in terms of the evolution.
00:12:42 Tim Hade
The question now is we have all these IoT enabled devices.
00:12:46 Tim Hade
We have all these technologies like cheap solar panels and affordable batteries and all sorts of things in our toolkit.
00:12:56 Tim Hade
How do we use those things to increase grid utilization and make a better system for everyone?
00:13:02 Tim Hade
And again, I think one of the reasons I'm here today and I'm really excited to talk to the Minnesota constituents here is I think Minnesota's really leading on this front, especially when it comes to public-private partnerships and the utility central role in sort of rolling these things out on the grid.
00:13:19 Tim Hade
And so I think you guys are doing a great job in Minnesota and excited to talk more about it.
00:13:24 Shubha Harris
That's great.
00:13:25 Shubha Harris
Can you say a little bit more about the Minnesota model and what we're rolling out here?
00:13:30 Tim Hade
Yeah, so.
00:13:31 Shubha Harris
Hopefully.
00:13:33 Tim Hade
Yeah, sure, right.
00:13:34 Tim Hade
So, all right, I guess like to be blunt about this, right?
00:13:37 Tim Hade
For the last like 15 years, as long as I've been doing this,
00:13:42 Tim Hade
There has been what can best be described as an adversarial relationship between people who do what I do, like demand response and distributed energy and utilities, right?
00:13:52 Tim Hade
And I think, again, the fundamental reason for that was kind of rooted in economic incentives.
00:13:57 Tim Hade
which is, my argument to utilities was always like, hey, there's like a cheaper, better, more efficient way to provide power to people.
00:14:06 Tim Hade
And the utility's response was kind of like, yeah, but load's not going up and we're good, right?
00:14:10 Tim Hade
Like we have a good thing going.
00:14:12 Tim Hade
And again, right, I think there was a lot of credence to that point.
00:14:16 Tim Hade
And so again, I think what has traditionally happened is we haven't really had like a close partnership with utilities.
00:14:23 Tim Hade
We've kind of been going around as an industry, like picking off homeowners and businesses one at a time.
00:14:28 Tim Hade
And it hasn't gotten big enough that it's really been a threat to utilities.
00:14:33 Tim Hade
Although like we kind of got to the point to, as you mentioned, and I don't know, maybe five, six years ago, where I think utilities were starting to realize like the technology was getting good enough that it could potentially be a threat if there wasn't load growth.
00:14:46 Tim Hade
Now we don't have any of those problems, right?
00:14:48 Tim Hade
Because we have more load growth than we know what to do with.
00:14:51 Tim Hade
And so the question now is how does the distributed energy industry and utilities work together?
00:14:57 Tim Hade
And I think one of the best examples of this is what Excel is doing in the Minneapolis, greater Minneapolis region.
00:15:07 Tim Hade
And the idea here is basically the best way to deploy distributed energy resources is in concert with the utility.
00:15:15 Tim Hade
Right.
00:15:15 Tim Hade
And so if you can work with the utility to manage distributed resources on the distribution grid, then sort of the whole is greater than the sum of its parts.
00:15:26 Tim Hade
And there's a really, really interesting program that Excel is running.
00:15:29 Tim Hade
They've partnered with.
00:15:30 Tim Hade
a company called Spark Fund, and they're deploying a network of distributed batteries around the city of Minneapolis, which will ultimately help improve grid utilization and reduce rates for ratepayers.
00:15:43 Tim Hade
It's kind of a first of a kind program, right?
00:15:46 Tim Hade
So we don't know exactly how it's going to go yet, but I'm really excited to see what happens, right?
00:15:51 Tim Hade
And I think
00:15:52 Tim Hade
there could be a case and maybe will be a case in a year and a half, two years, where Minneapolis has the best electric grid of any major city in the United States.
00:16:02 Tim Hade
And so we got a lot of work to do between now and then, but I think that's the really interesting experiment you all are running.
00:16:09 Tim Hade
And I think it's the right way to do this.
00:16:13 Shubha Harris
That's great.
00:16:14 Shubha Harris
Thanks for telling us about the program.
00:16:16 Shubha Harris
So I know we talked a little bit about the utility owned.
00:16:20 Shubha Harris
So the utility here in the Spark Fund partnership is going to own the batteries.
00:16:25 Shubha Harris
I understand that there are other models for how we can meet these distributed or these large load additions.
00:16:31 Shubha Harris
So maybe if you want to talk about that a little bit or Will, happy to have you both jump in.
00:16:38 Tim Hade
Yeah, I can start and then Will or Mark, feel free to interrupt me.
00:16:42 Tim Hade
Look, I think there are a lot of different business models with respect to how to do this, right?
00:16:47 Tim Hade
I think the thing that ultimately matters is it has to be done in concert with the utility, right?
00:16:52 Tim Hade
So what you don't want is a bunch of people like me just running around putting batteries wherever we feel like it, right?
00:16:59 Tim Hade
Because that doesn't result in the best possible system.
00:17:02 Tim Hade
And so ultimately, what we have to figure out how to do is we have to figure out for the utilities to signal the distributed energy industry with respect to where they want batteries, how big those batteries should be.
00:17:14 Tim Hade
Not just batteries, but sort of all forms of distributed energy.
00:17:18 Tim Hade
Where do you cite it?
00:17:19 Tim Hade
How big should it be?
00:17:20 Tim Hade
What should the operational characteristics be?
00:17:22 Tim Hade
What are the technical requirements to be able to do that?
00:17:24 Tim Hade
And there are a few different business models that you can use to figure that out.
00:17:29 Tim Hade
How it's done in most of the rest of the country is
00:17:33 Tim Hade
I don't know, pretty bad, right?
00:17:34 Tim Hade
And so we have these things called hosting capacity maps, which will show people like me where there's excess capacity on the grid.
00:17:42 Tim Hade
But there's a lot of privacy concerns and issues around updating the hosting capacity maps in real time.
00:17:48 Tim Hade
And so a lot of times I'm looking at a map from six months ago, and then I go to do my project, I file an interconnection agreement, and the utility is like, sorry, we made some changes, right?
00:17:57 Tim Hade
And so it's always been this kind of like fragmented
00:18:01 Tim Hade
imperfect sort of working process where I don't have full transparency on information, the utility doesn't have full transparency on information, and the result of that is kind of, I don't know, feelings get hurt, right?
00:18:14 Tim Hade
And people that don't necessarily, it's not like a great way to work together.
00:18:17 Tim Hade
And so I think what's happening in Excel is they're saying, well, okay, what if we own the resources, right?
00:18:25 Tim Hade
And we run a competitive process to find the best people to build, own, and install these resources.
00:18:31 Tim Hade
sources, and then we manage them on our distribution grid.
00:18:34 Tim Hade
That way, we can tell those developers exactly where we want to put these assets, exactly how big we want them to be, and then we can bear the operational responsibility for running those and making sure they contribute to the grid.
00:18:47 Tim Hade
That's the first time this has really been done at this scale.
00:18:52 Tim Hade
Again, in a classroom, it's the economic optimal, because you have incentives perfectly aligned between the utility and the distributed energy project.
00:19:01 Tim Hade
never done it in practice, right?
00:19:02 Tim Hade
And so we're going to do this over the next year or two.
00:19:04 Tim Hade
We're going to see what happens.
00:19:06 Tim Hade
And again, I'm sure it's not going to be perfect, but hopefully there'll be a lot of lessons learned and we can roll this model out in other areas around the country.
00:19:15 Shubha Harris
One of the really exciting parts about this project is the competitive procurement aspect.
00:19:18 Shubha Harris
And we'll get to that in just a minute, but I want to just turn to you, Will, and let you talk about what other models that you're seeing out there, what works, what are you excited about?
00:19:28 Will Mulhern
Yeah, for sure.
00:19:28 Will Mulhern
No, I think Tim set that up really well.
00:19:30 Will Mulhern
And I would say, as we talk about kind of the first time, definitely in Minnesota that we have a utility that's leveraging its distribution system to do these types of distributed resources, you can then start to think about what that enables down the road, right?
00:19:41 Will Mulhern
So this is very much the first time we've seen it.
00:19:44 Will Mulhern
But as we get the use cases established, as we start to understand, okay, there's value here, it can be operated in this way to deliver this value, then you start to think about what the next steps are.
00:19:52 Will Mulhern
And it's like, then you can get into a space where customer owned resources might become, you know,
00:19:58 Will Mulhern
good model.
00:19:58 Will Mulhern
There might be a way to make that work really well if you're targeting resources in a specific place with a specific use case and you have the utility aggregating those and operating those in a specific way.
00:20:08 Will Mulhern
So I think what's really exciting for us is this is the first step toward a more distributed grid and toward starting to think about the different ways that we can leverage these things that we really haven't done in the past or that utilities really haven't done in the past to try to
00:20:23 Will Mulhern
drive these things forward and it can happen in a relatively quick fashion, right?
00:20:26 Will Mulhern
Like once you get to a more realized state of operating this, it becomes a lot easier to bring things onto the grid.
00:20:32 Will Mulhern
A lot of these, whether it's customers, like their batteries, like a power wall at home or an EV or whatever it may be, like things are already up.
00:20:40 Will Mulhern
connected to the grid and operating.
00:20:42 Will Mulhern
And so once you start to understand how those can be managed and how it can be pulled together to deliver value, I think things can start to happen really quick.
00:20:50 Will Mulhern
And what we see in the planning side of things, like when we're engaged in a utilities planning process, is they need to bring things online quickly.
00:20:57 Will Mulhern
We talked a lot about load growth, setting this up.
00:21:00 Will Mulhern
And as data centers come online, they want power and they want it fast.
00:21:04 Will Mulhern
And so when you have things that are already connected to the grid,
00:21:07 Will Mulhern
and the utility begins to understand how it can operate those in a beneficial way.
00:21:11 Will Mulhern
I think that's another exciting aspect of it too.
00:21:14 Will Mulhern
And then, you know, I know we're kind of turning to the supplier diversity piece after this too, but we're talking about all these
00:21:20 Will Mulhern
all this money that's being spent and these things that are being built and investments being made.
00:21:24 Will Mulhern
And I think that also creates a really cool opportunity to think about how that creates economic opportunity throughout the state, throughout the service territory.
00:21:33 Will Mulhern
So there's lots of different models for it.
00:21:35 Will Mulhern
I think what we're just really excited about is that it's happening, right?
00:21:37 Will Mulhern
Like we very much believe in kind of an all of the above approach to this approach to this stuff.
00:21:42 Will Mulhern
And so seeing Excel kind of take the first swing at this is something that's really excited us on the fresh energy side.
00:21:48 Shubha Harris
Great, thanks.
00:21:49 Shubha Harris
I think that's maybe a good segue to shift gears over to the supplier diversity topic.
00:21:54 Shubha Harris
Mark, I'm going to ask you, so many of us are familiar with workforce diversity, but some not as familiar with supplier diversity.
00:22:01 Shubha Harris
So for those of us that are less familiar with supplier diversity, can you just kind of tell us what it is and how it's different from workforce diversity?
00:22:09 Mark Sebree
Yeah, so I'll just make the statement that, you know, supplier diversity and workforce diversity are,
00:22:15 Mark Sebree
inclusion programs, they're different.
00:22:17 Mark Sebree
They're related, but different.
00:22:18 Mark Sebree
So if you think about supplier diversity, it's really, it's a business imperative.
00:22:22 Mark Sebree
It's an internal process that really helps to push a business strategy forward that includes a wide array of different types of businesses, whether it's minority-owned, women-owned, veteran-owned,
00:22:34 Mark Sebree
Disabled-owned businesses.
00:22:36 Mark Sebree
It really sets a platform that all these different types of business and business owners can participate, and it really enhances the competitiveness of a program of a supply chain and fosters innovation.
00:22:50 Mark Sebree
It really...
00:22:51 Mark Sebree
I think work towards supply chain sustainability.
00:22:53 Mark Sebree
So you can really characterize this as sort of an external facing initiative within a corporation and within the supply chain organization.
00:23:03 Mark Sebree
If you think about workforce diversity or employee inclusion,
00:23:07 Mark Sebree
That's more of an internal facing.
00:23:09 Mark Sebree
So that's where you're really trying to, you're working with HR or people and culture, whatever that organization called.
00:23:17 Mark Sebree
You're working with them to make sure that everyone feels included within the company and valued.
00:23:22 Mark Sebree
And if a person, if people feel included in value, that's also going to increase productivity.
00:23:29 Mark Sebree
The studies are and they've been done, you know, they study this thing to death, and we know that if employees are happy, you're going to get a better product.
00:23:35 Mark Sebree
It's just going to be better for everyone.
00:23:37 Mark Sebree
So that's where employee inclusion is so important.
00:23:41 Mark Sebree
And when I say inclusion, I want to make this statement.
00:23:45 Mark Sebree
I had to make, you know, I make this statement whenever I talk about this, that includes everyone.
00:23:50 Mark Sebree
And sometimes white males may feel excluded.
00:23:52 Mark Sebree
This is including everyone.
00:23:54 Mark Sebree
We need everyone in this process.
00:23:57 Mark Sebree
So that's kind of the difference between the internal employee inclusion and external supplier diversity.
00:24:04 Mark Sebree
Again, it includes everyone.
00:24:05 Mark Sebree
So there's things such as employee resource groups that are put together to help employees on the internal facing aspect to feel valued within a company.
00:24:14 Mark Sebree
So these, again,
00:24:15 Mark Sebree
Again, they're not nice to have.
00:24:18 Mark Sebree
These are now business imperatives.
00:24:20 Mark Sebree
We need everyone.
00:24:22 Mark Sebree
I'll use the phrase later.
00:24:23 Mark Sebree
We need all hands on deck in these types of initiatives.
00:24:28 Shubha Harris
Great.
00:24:28 Shubha Harris
I appreciate the
00:24:32 Shubha Harris
distinction between the two.
00:24:33 Shubha Harris
We're here to kind of talk a little bit more about supplier diversity.
00:24:35 Shubha Harris
I know that's your sort of forte.
00:24:37 Shubha Harris
The Minnesota utilities annually report their supplier diversity numbers, which include veteran owned, women owned,
00:24:47 Shubha Harris
businesses owned by people of color.
00:24:49 Shubha Harris
And the general numbers that the Minnesota Utilities reporting right now are all sort of around the 5% or lower number.
00:24:58 Shubha Harris
Can you just kind of tell us, give us some context, what is considered a strong or meaningful benchmark when it comes to spire diversity?
00:25:07 Mark Sebree
So, and that's a great question.
00:25:10 Mark Sebree
Spend dollars, spend percentages, that certainly is a good measurement.
00:25:14 Mark Sebree
It's not the only measurement, but often the question is asked, what is a good number?
00:25:19 Mark Sebree
That depends.
00:25:20 Mark Sebree
It depends on the type of project that's being put forth.
00:25:24 Mark Sebree
It depends on the demographics.
00:25:27 Mark Sebree
You know, if you look at census data, that's going to tie into, you know, what can be expected as far as spin data, but not just the the the amount of spin or the percentage, but also what types of projects or do we have companies, small and diverse businesses who are just doing the the basics or do we have companies also participating in some of the the more.
00:25:50 Mark Sebree
I would say complex span and projects that we see that we're talking about right here.
00:25:55 Mark Sebree
So I think, you know, single digits, I feel that there could be improvement to that because if you compare that to the demographics, particularly to Minneapolis, I believe what I last saw, there seems to be about a 40, 50% demographic.
00:26:13 Mark Sebree
I could be wrong on that, so don't quote me on that, but that tells me that, you know, single digits, there could be an improvement there.
00:26:19 Mark Sebree
But if you look at other parts,
00:26:20 Mark Sebree
to the state or other states that, you know, there could be a reason for that.
00:26:25 Mark Sebree
So I think looking at spend is one thing for a KPI, but also looking at, you know, how well does the business perform?
00:26:34 Mark Sebree
Those are always important measures, just like we would for any non-diverse business or non-small business as well.
00:26:41 Mark Sebree
So there's a lot of things that could be measured, and that's what we look at when we put these programs together.
00:26:47 Shubha Harris
I was surprised when I was preparing for this webinar, the demographic difference in population between Minneapolis and Minnesota, the demographics of Minneapolis and the racial demographics of people of color are much higher in Minneapolis.
00:27:00 Shubha Harris
So 40 to 50%, I think is what you had said.
00:27:02 Shubha Harris
But statewide, I think people of color approximately 20%.
00:27:06 Shubha Harris
So I know the project, a lot of the project will be in Minneapolis, but there will be some
00:27:12 Shubha Harris
outstate work that's done by the Excel and Spark Fund.
00:27:17 Shubha Harris
And so what you're kind of generally saying is sort of tracking the racial demographics of the of the locale, both at the granular level, but also at the statewide level is kind of where what we should be shooting for.
00:27:31 Mark Sebree
Yeah, and that's that's a practice.
00:27:32 Mark Sebree
When I was at Franklin Energy, you know, we worked all across the country and
00:27:36 Mark Sebree
We were asking, what are your what are your supplier diversity goals?
00:27:40 Mark Sebree
And again, my answer is always, well, we look at we look at the state or the region that we're working in and what are the demographics there?
00:27:46 Mark Sebree
So yeah, I think that that would apply here as well.
00:27:49 Mark Sebree
And so that's why it's important to, you know, make these relationships locally in Minneapolis to the different community organizations and workforce development organizations and the list goes on.
00:28:00 Mark Sebree
And we've already identified a lot of those, but it's important to really,
00:28:05 Mark Sebree
get close to these organizations so that we can find out where that potential is.
00:28:09 Mark Sebree
And I think we'll probably talk a little later about how much these projects are, we're looking at like $1.4 trillion of spend that's potentially going to be coming up.
00:28:21 Mark Sebree
And I think that's low.
00:28:23 Mark Sebree
I usually, if I see a budget that there's always going to be overrun.
00:28:25 Mark Sebree
So if you look at all the, you put all the small and diverse businesses together,
00:28:30 Mark Sebree
And these businesses are not just bidding on utility programs, they're bidding on projects like across the spectrum and whether it's infrastructure for our departments of transportation for states and that sort of federal levels, that sort of thing.
00:28:46 Mark Sebree
You put all that together, there's no way that there's capacity to handle all the work that's coming down the pipe.
00:28:51 Mark Sebree
So that's why supplier diversity is so important because it's bringing a new set of people into the, you know, to the table as well and a new talent.
00:29:00 Mark Sebree
that we need to really support all these projects that are coming down the pike.
00:29:06 Shubha Harris
So I know that you've been involved with several utilities in the mentoring or coaching relationship to help take utilities from single-digit numbers to double-digit numbers.
00:29:16 Shubha Harris
So could you talk a little bit about the how?
00:29:18 Shubha Harris
How do you do that?
00:29:19 Shubha Harris
How do we grow the supplier diversity base to the degree that reflect positive benchmarks?
00:29:26 Mark Sebree
Yeah, so I think
00:29:28 Mark Sebree
This takes me back to, I had a mentor that I worked for at the utility and he always told me, In God, we trust everyone else bringing data.
00:29:37 Mark Sebree
Data is so important.
00:29:38 Mark Sebree
So we need to know what we're dealing with.
00:29:42 Mark Sebree
So from the project standpoint, that's why scopes are so important to know what exactly is it that we're working for and do that on a timely basis.
00:29:49 Mark Sebree
So when I do try to help some of my utility colleagues and mentor them, we talk about really learning and understanding what it is that
00:29:58 Mark Sebree
the company's looking for, or the business unit's looking for.
00:30:01 Mark Sebree
So learning that.
00:30:02 Mark Sebree
And then on the other side, learning what capabilities are out there.
00:30:04 Mark Sebree
So that's that partnering with the local and diverse suppliers, knowing what their capabilities are so that we can match scope to capabilities.
00:30:12 Mark Sebree
And if we need to divide scope to a certain extent, if we can, we do that as well.
00:30:19 Mark Sebree
So it's really just being intentional, being intentional about
00:30:23 Mark Sebree
trying to bring others into the fold to, again, come out with a solution that's going to work for everyone.
00:30:31 Shubha Harris
So you had mentioned the being intentional.
00:30:35 Shubha Harris
So can you talk a little bit more about kind of how does that work with utility?
00:30:40 Shubha Harris
How do you work with the utilities to ensure that there is intentionality?
00:30:45 Mark Sebree
Yeah.
00:30:45 Mark Sebree
So I think, I mean, looking back on one example,
00:30:50 Mark Sebree
I can remember a utility that their safety supplies are going to go out to bid.
00:30:56 Mark Sebree
This is kind of a, it was kind of a big deal for the utility because it's like they felt if it's not broke, don't fix it.
00:31:03 Mark Sebree
But what we found was
00:31:06 Mark Sebree
there were a lot of, there's a lot of money being spent.
00:31:09 Mark Sebree
I call it rogue spin.
00:31:10 Mark Sebree
Some may use that term, meaning that there was dollars going out the door that did not need to be spent.
00:31:15 Mark Sebree
So what we did is we looked to find a supplier that was not just a safety supplier, but also a safety consultant that could come in to look to see what is it that we're spending money on and how can we
00:31:30 Mark Sebree
get this under control from a rogue spin standpoint.
00:31:32 Mark Sebree
So this particular supplier, he came in, he was very prepared.
00:31:37 Mark Sebree
He brought his KPIs to the table, which is kind of different because usually we have to ask for all that.
00:31:43 Mark Sebree
So I think when I try to help and coach others and say, you know, have your suppliers come to the table prepared.
00:31:49 Mark Sebree
So have them be prepared on number one, what is the main thing that they do?
00:31:53 Mark Sebree
Don't say they can do everything.
00:31:55 Mark Sebree
What's the best thing?
00:31:55 Mark Sebree
What's the thing they do best?
00:31:58 Mark Sebree
talk about how they measure their success, and then have them bring solutions to the table.
00:32:02 Mark Sebree
So just one solution this particular supplier came to the table with, he looked at all the gloves that were being used in safety.
00:32:12 Mark Sebree
And again, there were like a lot of SKUs, SKUs of gloves being used.
00:32:16 Mark Sebree
He came through and said, basically, well, you may have, I'm making up numbers here, maybe you have 20 SKUs of gloves, I can get that down to five.
00:32:24 Mark Sebree
Now what that means is initially he was going to be
00:32:27 Mark Sebree
basically making less money with the utility, but over time, because it's growing as a partnership, he would make that would increase the trust and also increased his work within that utility.
00:32:39 Mark Sebree
So that was done.
00:32:40 Mark Sebree
And again, we saw that that spend number, it started to go up, but with a value to it.
00:32:45 Mark Sebree
He did the same thing with batteries.
00:32:48 Mark Sebree
It's kind of interesting in the utility world.
00:32:52 Mark Sebree
Around December, the use of batteries goes up exponentially.
00:32:55 Mark Sebree
You couldn't figure out why.
00:32:56 Mark Sebree
Well, the Christmas holiday was coming up.
00:32:59 Mark Sebree
People were taking batteries home left and right.
00:33:01 Mark Sebree
So what this supplier did was bring a solution.
00:33:04 Mark Sebree
He says, well, what if we use vending machines and we have each battery expenditure tied to an individual and tied to a business unit?
00:33:14 Mark Sebree
This is value that this person brought to the table.
00:33:16 Mark Sebree
So when I work with different utilities, I really talk about what value can they bring.
00:33:21 Mark Sebree
And then, of course, that value gets recognized by all as a really a business imperative, but also helping the supply chain sustainability.
00:33:30 Mark Sebree
Those are some of the tips that I help when I try to mentor others.
00:33:34 Shubha Harris
Sure.
00:33:35 Shubha Harris
Sounds like there's a matchmaking component and then just getting really specific or getting that relationship built so that it can last.
00:33:43 Shubha Harris
Tim, I know you work with utilities a lot, quite a lot.
00:33:46 Shubha Harris
Maybe you can talk a little bit about here about what it's like to work with utilities on the DER side.
00:33:52 Tim Hade
Yeah, look, I think the first thing, just to sort of piggyback off what Mark was saying is, look, supplier diversity at this point in time is an imperative, because we need to grow the pie of people who know how to do this work, right?
00:34:07 Tim Hade
And so if you think about, I don't know, every day in the newspaper, you read about how we're running out of electricity.
00:34:13 Tim Hade
The bottleneck is not turbines or transformers or switchgear, the bottleneck is people.
00:34:18 Tim Hade
right?
00:34:19 Tim Hade
So if you go look at all the data, like the problem is there are not enough EPCs who know how to do this work in order to get all this work done.
00:34:26 Tim Hade
And then once we solve that, then there are also turbine and transformer and switchgear supply chain issues.
00:34:31 Tim Hade
But like people is the number one thing.
00:34:34 Tim Hade
And so look, I mean, I think that's kind of changed the way that companies like mine think about working with utilities, right?
00:34:42 Tim Hade
Most of the companies that are in the DER space are startups, right?
00:34:47 Tim Hade
And if you're a company like mine, you're heavily populated with engineers and energy nerds and people like that, but not really well equipped to think about, well, how do we grow the vendor workforce in the city of Minneapolis, right?
00:35:04 Tim Hade
That's not really something I know how to do.
00:35:07 Tim Hade
I know it has to be done, but I don't know how to do it.
00:35:10 Tim Hade
And so I think that's kind of where the partnership with utilities is heading, where it's like, hey, if you want to do this at 50, 100, 150 megawatt scale, we have to start thinking differently about how this relationship works.
00:35:25 Tim Hade
And again, right, I think it's pretty clear that when you're trying to execute projects of that magnitude, utilities are uniquely positioned to think about those types of programs.
00:35:35 Tim Hade
And so again, I think how we've traditionally worked with utilities is, let's just say it's kind of like a leadership void, right?
00:35:46 Tim Hade
Where like the utilities over here and we're over here and there are programs, but there's not really a clear chain of command in terms of how any of this stuff works.
00:35:54 Tim Hade
And like, I have my legislators and the utilities have their legislators and typically they're better at that than I am, right?
00:36:02 Tim Hade
And so we kind of play that game.
00:36:05 Tim Hade
But again,
00:36:06 Tim Hade
It's really, really inefficient.
00:36:08 Tim Hade
And so I think where the opportunity is, is when utilities could take a leadership role and play in that coordination function, right?
00:36:15 Tim Hade
And they could say, okay, look, we know that we have to deploy a bunch of distributed energy, but we're not just going to do it in an ad hoc way.
00:36:22 Tim Hade
We have a plan, and this is how we want to do it.
00:36:25 Tim Hade
Then you can start to think about, okay, what else do we need to build around that in order to really make this work and make this work in an optimal way?
00:36:35 Tim Hade
That's really where I think the workforce development and the supplier diversity angle of this comes in, which is, we have to do it, right?
00:36:44 Tim Hade
We have to have more electricians, we have to have more developers, we have to have more procurement people, right?
00:36:51 Tim Hade
But coordinating that on a regional basis is like a big undertaking, right?
00:36:57 Tim Hade
And there aren't a lot of 100 person companies out there that are equipped to do it.
00:37:01 Tim Hade
And so I think that's a huge role for the utility moving forward.
00:37:04 Tim Hade
And I think what you're going to see is,
00:37:06 Tim Hade
in utility territories where the utility takes a leadership role in doing this, you're going to have better outcomes than when it's just kind of like, I don't know, the Wild West, right?
00:37:15 Tim Hade
And so one of the interesting things to look at over the next 10 years is, are these systems going to be better in Minneapolis or Austin?
00:37:23 Tim Hade
right?
00:37:25 Tim Hade
Because in Texas, there are no rules, right?
00:37:27 Tim Hade
And it's just kind of like, go for it.
00:37:29 Tim Hade
And again, I think that means you move fast, but it doesn't necessarily mean that you're building projects or economies of scale that are going to last.
00:37:38 Tim Hade
And I think the way you all are approaching it in Minneapolis potentially turns out that that's the best way to do it.
00:37:45 Tim Hade
And not only do you get it done pretty quickly, but you also have something that lasts and an ecosystem that can build upon itself.
00:37:52 Tim Hade
And so again, I think
00:37:53 Tim Hade
That's why this is a really interesting experiment.
00:37:56 Shubha Harris
Yeah, I see a lot of parallels in the...
00:37:59 Shubha Harris
Oh, sorry, go ahead, Will.
00:37:59 Will Mulhern
No, I was just going to say if I could jump in and build on that a little bit.
00:38:02 Will Mulhern
I think another interesting part of this is whether it's a new supplier working within the supply chain of a utility or a data center or whoever it may be, or a DER company that's trying to sell something to a utility or integrate into the grid.
00:38:15 Will Mulhern
It's also just very esoteric space that for a long time, nobody has cared much about, except for people like us on this call who are nerds
00:38:23 Will Mulhern
in the weeds.
00:38:24 Will Mulhern
And now it's getting all this publicity and it's like driving the economy.
00:38:28 Will Mulhern
And every time you open any sort of like financial publication, there's talk about investment in data centers and what it means for utilities and what it means for generation companies.
00:38:36 Will Mulhern
And so I also think there's sort of an impetus on the utility and to some extent on regulatory agencies to bring people into the fold and to understand how to break outside of this kind of like very niche industry that we've been in to get diverse suppliers, to understand the value proposition of what it means to work in the space and to get folks who have typically thought of themselves as like a microgig company that works outside the bounds of the distribution system, right?
00:39:00 Will Mulhern
Like they're kind of doing their own thing, but think about ways
00:39:04 Will Mulhern
pull those together into a broader effort to really push this forward and to meet the challenges we're facing.
00:39:10 Will Mulhern
And I think that's, speaking to utility folks a little bit, I think that's a role that they need to be playing in bringing people into this and understanding those structural barriers that exist, whether it's even just acronyms or understanding how a tariff works or how a utility is regulated.
00:39:27 Will Mulhern
I think there's a lot of opportunity there as well when we talk about that.
00:39:30 Will Mulhern
So another theme that we definitely see in Minnesota and I know is consistent across
00:39:34 Will Mulhern
the country.
00:39:36 Shubha Harris
Yeah, I think that dovetails with what I was gonna say right after Tim is just that I see a lot of parallels in the kind of working in the Der space with with supplier diversity in the sense.
00:39:46 Shubha Harris
It's like you need leadership that understands the value that there's willing to
00:39:52 Shubha Harris
to say, bring visibility to the topic of, you know, whether it's DERs or it's supplier diversity to say, this is really important.
00:40:00 Shubha Harris
We need to work with the folks that understand how to do this so that we can build the right ecosystem so that we can meet the demand of the, you know, the trillions of dollars that's gonna be spent over the next several decades.
00:40:13 Shubha Harris
I think that kind of goes a little bit to the topic of the why is this important in terms of supplier diversity.
00:40:21 Shubha Harris
Mark, can you just maybe tell us a little bit about what you see as the value proposition?
00:40:28 Mark Sebree
Yeah, again, I think it's just really bringing really fresh blood, I mean, so to speak, to the table, fresh ideas.
00:40:36 Mark Sebree
As I mentioned before, these trillions of dollars, we need new ideas, new approaches.
00:40:42 Mark Sebree
I grew up in a
00:40:45 Mark Sebree
Navy veteran household, right?
00:40:46 Mark Sebree
So my pop, I heard probably twice a week get a move on or it's kind of like all hands on deck or what's the other thing he used to say?
00:40:54 Mark Sebree
Get the lead out.
00:40:56 Mark Sebree
We need that approach.
00:40:57 Mark Sebree
Like we kind of need a sense of urgency around this because I've been around this for about 30 years and we were talking 30 years ago about.
00:41:05 Mark Sebree
workforce development and training people up because at the time I was at the utility 20 years ago, I was average age 45 and we were like really alarmed that we don't have all the craft workers that's needed to do this work.
00:41:18 Mark Sebree
Well, that that hasn't changed.
00:41:20 Mark Sebree
It's only gotten even worse now.
00:41:22 Mark Sebree
And as I think Tim talked about earlier, you know, we're now hair is on fire.
00:41:26 Mark Sebree
So, so supplier diversity and workforce development and workforce inclusion, all of that is these are, these are all, I think,
00:41:35 Mark Sebree
things that can bring solutions to the table, right?
00:41:38 Mark Sebree
And so that's why, within the supplier diversity arena, we have a lot of professionals that are very committed to doing this.
00:41:45 Mark Sebree
And when we do work together through different industry groups, I'll just
00:41:50 Mark Sebree
give a shout out to one, Edison Electric Institute.
00:41:53 Mark Sebree
We come together and share best practices to do things like this.
00:41:57 Mark Sebree
So I think it really is imperative now that we see that we need this more than ever.
00:42:03 Mark Sebree
Back when I was doing demand-side management,
00:42:07 Mark Sebree
When Tim was talking earlier, it made me think about a data point.
00:42:10 Mark Sebree
Tim mentioned the Internet of Things.
00:42:12 Mark Sebree
When I started this, this was two years before the Internet was even commercialized.
00:42:16 Mark Sebree
So it didn't exist.
00:42:17 Mark Sebree
And now look at the exponential change in technology and connectivity and everything we have.
00:42:23 Mark Sebree
So that's just going to drive demand even more, demand for energy, but also demand for talent and business and all that sort of thing.
00:42:30 Mark Sebree
So I think the time is right for us to really act and act
00:42:35 Mark Sebree
really intentionally to get things done.
00:42:39 Shubha Harris
That's great.
00:42:40 Shubha Harris
I'm just going to let my audience know that we're going to open it up for questions in a few minutes here.
00:42:44 Shubha Harris
So please go ahead and pop your questions in the Q&A if you have questions.
00:42:49 Shubha Harris
But Tim, I'm going to go back to you and Will for your respective fields.
00:42:53 Shubha Harris
I want to talk a little bit about sort of what you see as the challenges and the barriers to achieving the mission of meeting the growing demand from the DER's perspective.
00:43:06 Tim Hade
Yeah, I mean, there are a lot of challenges, right?
00:43:08 Tim Hade
I mean, I think that's one of the things that, I don't know, is both interesting and terrifying about the moment that we find ourselves in.
00:43:19 Tim Hade
So look, right, I think like,
00:43:21 Tim Hade
The 800-pound gorilla in this whole thing is the AI data centers, right?
00:43:28 Tim Hade
Part of the challenge we have as an industry is that no one really knows how much compute we need, right?
00:43:34 Tim Hade
You go to San Francisco and you talk to some of these frontier model companies, and they're like, we need 300 gigawatts of compute by 2030.
00:43:43 Tim Hade
At a PUE of 1.25, that's 400 gigawatts of power, which is like, I don't know, a third the size of the entire US
00:43:51 Tim Hade
electric grid, and that's one company, and that's four years away, and that's probably not going to happen, right?
00:43:56 Tim Hade
And then you go talk to other people, and they're like, yeah, I was doing this in the 1990s when people told me the e-mail was going to be 15% of global electricity use, and it's not.
00:44:08 Tim Hade
And so we're going to figure out more efficient ways to do this.
00:44:11 Tim Hade
And so the uncertainty about what the future looks like is really challenging to think about, right?
00:44:17 Tim Hade
And so I think the first thing is, we have to have a, at some
00:44:21 Tim Hade
level, a national strategic plan for how we're going to think about this, right?
00:44:26 Tim Hade
Because I think what you have right now is you have a lot of people making very speculative bets about what's going to happen.
00:44:34 Tim Hade
and that's driving a lot of capital allocation, and that's driving a lot of investment decisions.
00:44:39 Tim Hade
And I don't know if that's the optimal way to go about this, right?
00:44:43 Tim Hade
So trying to understand to some extent what the demand side actually looks like is really, really challenging.
00:44:50 Tim Hade
Then you get into, okay, well, what are we actually using AI compute for, right?
00:44:55 Tim Hade
And so right now there's training and there's inference.
00:44:57 Tim Hade
And when you talk to computer scientists, they say like, for sure, we definitely need big one gigawatt training clusters to do
00:45:04 Tim Hade
do model training.
00:45:06 Tim Hade
I don't really understand why, and I've been digging into this for the last year, and I haven't gotten a great explanation yet.
00:45:13 Tim Hade
But if you assume that's the truth, right, and that we really need to build one gigawatt data centers in order to handle this kind of stuff.
00:45:20 Tim Hade
I mean, we've never done that before, right?
00:45:22 Tim Hade
There's never been like one site on a distribution node or a transmission node that consumes a gigawatt of power at like a 95% load factor, right?
00:45:32 Tim Hade
And so the technical challenges about like, how do you actually integrate that into the grid are really, really, really
00:45:40 Tim Hade
That's like the cutting edge, right?
00:45:41 Tim Hade
Like how do you actually do that?
00:45:43 Tim Hade
And then if you're a state like Minnesota and you also care about climate change and you want to lead on sustainability and you want to minimize local air pollution and all that kind of stuff, like adding a layer of complexity to that is like, how do you do that without building a gigawatt gas plant next to the data center, right?
00:46:00 Tim Hade
And so I think like
00:46:02 Tim Hade
We don't know, right?
00:46:03 Tim Hade
The answer is like, we don't know how to do that, but we have a lot of really smart, innovative people in this country, and we have to figure out a way to get all those people working off the same sheet of music and collaborating to figure this stuff out.
00:46:16 Tim Hade
Because on the other side of the ocean, there's a country that has a different system for doing this, and they're dominating us from a power generation, electrical capacity standpoint.
00:46:28 Tim Hade
And as much as I'm uncertain about AI, I'm much more comfortable
00:46:32 Tim Hade
in a world where America wins AI than I am in a world where China wins AI.
00:46:36 Tim Hade
The national security implications of that are a real thing.
00:46:40 Tim Hade
Again, I think we're in unchartered territory here with the amount of load growth we're talking about.
00:46:46 Tim Hade
If you use, I think what most people are talking about, which is 100 gigawatts of net new load by 2030, I don't know how to do that, right?
00:46:56 Tim Hade
That's like a big challenge.
00:46:58 Tim Hade
I know that distributed energy is going to be a piece of that, right?
00:47:02 Tim Hade
And probably the cheapest megawatt that exists on the grid is the megawatt that we're not currently using with the infrastructure we have.
00:47:10 Tim Hade
So if you assume like nationally we're running our transmission and distribution system, it's something like a 50% average load factor or 50% efficiency.
00:47:20 Tim Hade
Can we get that to 70%?
00:47:21 Tim Hade
And if we can get that to 70%, okay, there's your 100 gigawatts of power.
00:47:26 Tim Hade
And now we've bought ourselves another three, four, five years to figure out whatever we're going to do in 2030 moving forward.
00:47:33 Tim Hade
But again, right, like that's talking about, okay, we're going to build 100 gigawatts of load flexibility or distributed energy on the grid in the next four years.
00:47:43 Tim Hade
No one's ever thought about that before at that scale, right?
00:47:47 Tim Hade
And so, again, the only people I'm skeptical of that I talked to in like this industry are people who definitely know what's going to happen, because no one does.
00:47:56 Tim Hade
But I think again, right, like the answer here is really collaboration.
00:47:59 Tim Hade
And I think that's where utilities leading on this and then bringing the ecosystem and bringing the communities into the fold and sort of giving people clear rules of the road.
00:48:10 Tim Hade
I think it's a really interesting framework for how to do it and could well end up being like the optimal way to do it after we try a few different things and see what works.
00:48:20 Will Mulhern
And I would maybe add on to that.
00:48:22 Will Mulhern
I agree with a lot of that very strongly.
00:48:24 Will Mulhern
I think there's also like a spectrum of risk and like how we respond to load growth, right?
00:48:29 Will Mulhern
So like on the riskiest side, it's like we're going to build a bunch of behind the meter gas and nuclear plants and then we're going to use that to meet this low growth.
00:48:36 Will Mulhern
And then on the other side, it's like we're going to do the things we're talking about today where we rethink how we use our grid, where we get better utilization out of the existing grid, where we minimize some of those additional capital investments and where we just are smarter about how we use electricity.
00:48:49 Will Mulhern
And it's like maybe
00:48:50 Will Mulhern
the load growth doesn't materialize after we do all that, but that's a huge benefit regardless that we've done the work to use the grid better, and that also enables a ton of stuff, whether it's clean manufacturing, whether it's mining or steel production, things we've talked about, and those are obviously a little Minnesota specific, but I think that just
00:49:09 Will Mulhern
using this opportunity as a way to rethink how we use our electric grid is a pretty low risk thing to do.
00:49:16 Will Mulhern
And so I think bringing all these folks into the fold, like bringing in the private capital, getting regulators on board with these types of ideas is like a really smart approach in any event.
00:49:26 Will Mulhern
And people can disagree and certainly do on the use of AI and what the future of AI looks like.
00:49:32 Will Mulhern
I don't know what it's going to look like.
00:49:33 Will Mulhern
If I did, I might not be on this webinar.
00:49:35 Will Mulhern
I might be making millions of dollars for an investor somewhere, but
00:49:40 Will Mulhern
I think that the truth is that there are steps we can take that are very low risk, that are very smart, and that can just move forward the state of our electricity grid.
00:49:48 Will Mulhern
And I think that's a great opportunity there too.
00:49:51 Shubha Harris
Yeah, I think that's right.
00:49:53 Shubha Harris
Mark, what do you think about from the supplier diversity standpoint, the challenges you're seeing?
00:49:58 Mark Sebree
Yeah, so one challenge is, I think, just the
00:50:02 Mark Sebree
just getting into the game.
00:50:03 Mark Sebree
So the barrier to entry, sometimes that's a pretty high bar for a company starting out or maybe a company that's been in business for some time, but not in this particular arena.
00:50:14 Mark Sebree
So that's one.
00:50:15 Mark Sebree
And so, but there are things that can be done, mentoring and partnerships and that sort of thing as well.
00:50:22 Mark Sebree
Also, I think tapping into
00:50:25 Mark Sebree
resources that we haven't tapped into before.
00:50:27 Mark Sebree
And Tim kind of reminded me when he was speaking, I see his uniform, they're, you know, tapping into the veteran, the veteran network, that's talent, that talent and also technologies that they're aware of that maybe many people are not aware of that could be used.
00:50:45 Mark Sebree
And I know here locally, there's in the university have what's called a commercialization program where they actually take technologies that were created by the
00:50:55 Mark Sebree
the military and they're commercialized them onto the public sector.
00:50:59 Mark Sebree
So I'm saying using collaboration and coordination to use all that to bring it to the table because I really feel like we have not tapped into some of the resources that we could.
00:51:10 Mark Sebree
And I think if we leverage all that, then we can come up with some really good solutions and quickly not taking years to do this because we don't have years to do.
00:51:20 Shubha Harris
Okay, Tim, I'm gonna kick this one back to you.
00:51:22 Shubha Harris
You had said we have to get this done.
00:51:25 Shubha Harris
We don't know how we're gonna do it.
00:51:26 Shubha Harris
It's very difficult challenge.
00:51:28 Shubha Harris
So maybe could you lay out a couple of like what I call low hanging fruit?
00:51:33 Shubha Harris
Like what are some of the easier things that we could do?
00:51:35 Shubha Harris
And then maybe spell out like if we could be a little more ambitious or accomplish all the things that we wanted to, what would those be?
00:51:44 Tim Hade
Yeah, well, look, I think to oversimplify, right?
00:51:49 Tim Hade
The one sentence answer to what to do is put batteries everywhere, right?
00:51:53 Tim Hade
And so when you look at all the research on this, right, we've actually built enough peak demand to be able to, or peak supply, to be able to handle a lot of what we have to build out on the grid.
00:52:08 Tim Hade
And that's not just AI, that's also advanced manufacturing, robotics, all the other things people want to build.
00:52:14 Tim Hade
But generally speaking, we have this problem where like 100 to 200 hours a year, we don't have enough capacity.
00:52:22 Tim Hade
And that's what really drives the need for additional generation, additional transmission and distribution resources.
00:52:28 Tim Hade
And so again, I think the value that batteries have today, and that can traditionally be in the form of lithium ion or LFP,
00:52:37 Tim Hade
which is more of like a two to four hour short duration technology, or it could be all the way on the other end of the spectrum with Form Energy and what they're doing in Minnesota.
00:52:47 Tim Hade
So there's a lot of different kinds of storage, but the net being that if you can free up capacity during that 100 to 200 hours a year, then that's the number one thing that will get you through the next four or five years.
00:53:00 Tim Hade
And one of the big advantages of batteries, right, is that is 1 area where on a global basis, we don't have any supply chain constraints.
00:53:06 Tim Hade
So we actually, right, if I order a battery today, I can get it with a 16-week lead time.
00:53:12 Tim Hade
If I try to order a transformer today, I do not get a 16-week lead time.
00:53:17 Tim Hade
And so I think that's just kind of where the global economy is and sort of the supply-demand balance.
00:53:23 Tim Hade
And so we can deploy a lot of batteries really, really quickly.
00:53:26 Tim Hade
I think ultimately, like the perfect solution down the road, right, is generally what you would call like transactive two-way power flows, right?
00:53:36 Tim Hade
And so the idea that the grid for 150 years now has been a one-way street.
00:53:42 Tim Hade
And what we really need it to be is a two-way street, right?
00:53:44 Tim Hade
We need to be able to not only send electricity from the top down, but also the bottom up, and we need to figure out how to load balance.
00:53:52 Tim Hade
And, technically, we have the ability to do that.
00:53:55 Tim Hade
So, one of my favorite companies in the world is a company called the Octopus Energy, which is, I think, now the most valuable company in the UK.
00:54:03 Tim Hade
But literally, when the Ukraine conflict happened four years ago,
00:54:09 Tim Hade
the UK went through this amazing transformation where they just started to do load flexibility everywhere.
00:54:14 Tim Hade
And as a net result, relative to their European counterparts, electricity rates have stayed low, performance has gone up, and that's really been enabled by technology
00:54:26 Tim Hade
really computer-based technology that's helping to balance two-way power flows as opposed to one-way power flows.
00:54:33 Tim Hade
And you start to get into things like, oh, we can actually pay people to plug in their cars from 4 PM to 6 PM.
00:54:40 Tim Hade
And the amount of money they're making by plugging their electric vehicle into the charger during those times is offsetting their entire monthly lease payment.
00:54:49 Tim Hade
right?
00:54:50 Tim Hade
And you start to get into these really interesting economic outcomes that can sort of help everyone go through this energy transition on a global basis, right?
00:55:00 Tim Hade
Because we're trying to do this in the US, but all this stuff has to happen globally.
00:55:04 Tim Hade
And so again, I think that's kind of the longer term thing, but point number one is just put batteries everywhere, and then figuring out how to do that in the best way possible is a challenge.
00:55:14 Tim Hade
Which again, there's a few different experiments happening around the country, and you guys are leading one of them.
00:55:19 Shubha Harris
Yeah, that's great.
00:55:20 Shubha Harris
Batteries, the value that batteries can provide to the system is really unlimited potential.
00:55:26 Shubha Harris
Will, how about you on that one?
00:55:30 Will Mulhern
Yeah, I mean, I agree with, you know, largely a ton of what Tim said.
00:55:34 Will Mulhern
And I think, you know,
00:55:37 Will Mulhern
That feels like a very straightforward, and that's kind of getting back to what I was talking about in terms of the low-risk opportunities.
00:55:42 Will Mulhern
Like we know batteries work, we know how to use them in large part, and the technology is only getting better, whether it's in terms of how long it can discharge for.
00:55:50 Will Mulhern
or the amount of material it uses, things like that, it's only moving forward.
00:55:55 Will Mulhern
And again, I think it's just very low risk to plug in a bunch of batteries across the grid.
00:55:58 Will Mulhern
And to be clear, I think that looks like utility-owned batteries.
00:56:01 Will Mulhern
I think that can be customer-owned batteries.
00:56:03 Will Mulhern
And I think there's tons of ways, and we're not going to get into rate design at all in this webinar, but there's lots of questions about how you can design rates to make that work for the utility and for customers.
00:56:13 Will Mulhern
And I think that's where you start to get to the frontier of some of these interesting questions.
00:56:16 Will Mulhern
So maybe at a high level, I would say that rate design is a huge
00:56:20 Will Mulhern
component of this and an economic question that we're going to have to tackle.
00:56:24 Will Mulhern
And unfortunately, not something we necessarily have time to get into today, but something that I think will be a core component of looking forward and transition.
00:56:31 Shubha Harris
Yeah, I agree.
00:56:32 Shubha Harris
And when Tim was saying this is a national strategic conversation, the conversation around how do we do this so it's affordable for customers and customers can really benefit is a key to the conversation.
00:56:45 Shubha Harris
All right.
00:56:45 Shubha Harris
I think we're we're coming on to time.
00:56:47 Shubha Harris
So, Mark, I'm just going to end with you.
00:56:49 Shubha Harris
What do you see as some low hanging fruit?
00:56:51 Shubha Harris
And then what do you see as the kind of the, you know, the ideal scenario?
00:56:57 Mark Sebree
So I think low hanging fruit right now is, you know, get your supplier diversity or your supplier management engagement, whatever title that you're using, get those people in the room with your energy efficiency teams, start talking and figuring out again,
00:57:14 Mark Sebree
ways to collaborate and get that communication out.
00:57:16 Mark Sebree
And then low hanging fruit, I think looking at, you know, your current supply base, figure out who you have right now, if there's some development that can be done, and that's something that we can help with as well, get those folks to the table.
00:57:30 Mark Sebree
And so I think we get a head start.
00:57:33 Mark Sebree
The more time before the project, the better.
00:57:37 Mark Sebree
That way, you know, we, again, can come up with a better outcome.
00:57:42 Shubha Harris
Great.
00:57:43 Shubha Harris
Well, I'll, if anyone has any final last words, please go ahead.
00:57:48 Shubha Harris
Anyone want to throw in something that was burning?
00:57:52 Will Mulhern
I'll maybe just close on, you know, throw
00:57:56 Will Mulhern
Energy.
00:57:56 Will Mulhern
We do a lot of work in Minnesota and it's very cool to have two experts from kind of nationally come together and support us on this.
00:58:02 Will Mulhern
So very fortunate for this conversation and also maybe want to underline that like kind of the impetus for this is we can do these cool things.
00:58:08 Will Mulhern
We can make this investment in the future and we can do that in a way that's going to sustain businesses and is going to build the economy across our state and across the country.
00:58:17 Will Mulhern
And so I just appreciate having the opportunity to kind of have some back and forth with experts on those subjects.
00:58:23 Tim Hade
Yeah, I guess the last thing I'll say very quickly is perfect is the enemy of good, right?
00:58:28 Tim Hade
And so look, I think any program that anyone in the state of Minnesota does, every project I've ever built, right, there's room for improvement.
00:58:36 Tim Hade
You're not going to get it perfect.
00:58:38 Tim Hade
There's going to be things that you wish you had done that you didn't do.
00:58:41 Tim Hade
What we need to do desperately right now is just do good projects.
00:58:44 Tim Hade
And one of the reasons I'm so excited for the state of Minnesota and the city of Minneapolis is because I think what's happening in Minneapolis is a good project.
00:58:53 Tim Hade
project, right?
00:58:54 Tim Hade
And we're going to learn a lot from it.
00:58:56 Tim Hade
It's going to help a lot of people.
00:58:58 Tim Hade
And it's going to help the rest of the people in the country watch this model and see how it evolves and all that kind of stuff.
00:59:04 Tim Hade
And so I know there are criticisms and critiques.
00:59:07 Tim Hade
There are criticisms and critiques of every project that you can ever build, but this is a really, really good project.
00:59:12 Tim Hade
And thank you guys for the leadership.
00:59:16 Shubha Harris
Great.
00:59:16 Shubha Harris
Well, we're at time.
00:59:17 Shubha Harris
And I just want to also echo Will's comments.
00:59:19 Shubha Harris
I really appreciate being on with such a great panel.
00:59:22 Shubha Harris
I'm really excited to see how this project rolls out and continue the discussion on how we're meeting large load here in Minnesota and nationally.
00:59:29 Shubha Harris
And it's just been great to be on with you all.
00:59:33 Shubha Harris
Thanks, everyone.
00:59:35 Jo Olson
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00:59:41 Jo Olson
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